# Greenhaven Road: Analysis of 2026-Q2 13F Filings and Key Takeaways for Individual Investors

LeadHold is dedicated to assessing the reference value of investment institutions for retail investors. By continuously tracking the core holdings of Greenhaven Road, LeadHold simulates buying its top five reported holdings on the first trading day after each 13F filing is released, then evaluates annualized return, Annualized Excess Return, Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, and other performance metrics to assign a composite score and ranking. This analysis is intended to assess its relevance for individual investors and does not constitute investment advice.

## key performance metrics
* **Annualized Return: +9.83%**
* **Annualized Excess Return: -8.32%**
* **Sharpe ratio: 0.39**
* **Tracking Period: 6y 8m 6d**
* **Total Return Since Tracking: +86.97%**

## Risk Management
* **Maximum Drawdown: +71.74%**
* **Max Drawdown Recovery Time: Not recovered yet**


## Overall Assessment
Based on key performance metrics, including annualized return of +9.83%, Annualized Excess Return of -8.32%, tracking period of 6y 8m 6d, Sharpe ratio of 0.39, and maximum drawdown of 71.74%, LeadHold classifies Greenhaven Road as **Limited reference value**. However, because its tracking period is less than five years, it is not included in the LeadHold rankings. This information is provided for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.

### Signal
1. Increased ***NEXTNAV INC*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
2. Increased ***BURFORD CAPITAL LTD*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
3. Reduced ***AST SPACEMOBILE INC*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
4. Reduced ***LIFECORE BIOMEDICAL INC*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
5. Reduced ***CELLEBRITE DI LTD*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
6. Reduced ***HAGERTY INC*** holdings for 3 consecutive quarters. 
7. Reduced ***KINGSWAY FINL SVCS INC*** holdings for 2 consecutive quarters. 


## Top Five Core Long Positions
LeadHold assesses an institution’s relevance for retail investors by simulating a proportional purchase of its top five reported holdings.

1. HGTY 24.91% 

2. CLBT 20.59% 

3. KWY 19.78% 

4. LFCR 18.77% 

5. PAR 15.95% 


## Latest Top 10 Holdings
For the top 10 holdings, LeadHold uses publicly available data and actual trading volumes, together with an algorithm based on a diluted cost-basis methodology, to estimate the cost basis of selected positions. This estimate is provided for reference only and does not represent the investment institution’s actual cost basis.

|   No   |   Stock Name   |   Ticker   |  Activity   |    Estimated Cost  | Weight | Market Value | Shares |
| -------- | -------- | -------- | -------- | -------- | -------- | -------- |  -------- | 
|   1   |   HAGERTY INC   |   HGTY   |  Reduced -21.29%   |      |   +14.44% |    22.24M  |    1.87M  |
|   2   |   CELLEBRITE DI LTD   |   CLBT   |  Reduced -17.93%   |      |   +11.94% |    18.4M  |    1.26M  |
|   3   |   KINGSWAY FINL SVCS INC   |   KWY   |  Reduced -8.4%   |      |   +11.47% |    17.67M  |    1.7M  |
|   4   |   LIFECORE BIOMEDICAL INC   |   LFCR   |  Reduced -9.8%   |      |   +10.88% |    16.75M  |    3.19M  |
|   5   |   PAR TECHNOLOGY CORP   |   PAR   |  Added +0.92%   |      |   +9.25% |    14.25M  |    817.89K  |
|   6   |   BURFORD CAPITAL LTD   |   BUR   |  Added +42.17%   |      |   +8.1% |    12.48M  |    3.04M  |
|   7   |   ANAPTYSBIO INC   |   ANAB   |  New   |      |   +7.5% |    11.55M  |    171.06K  |
|   8   |   KKR   |   KKR   |  Added +6.99%   |      |   +6.8% |    10.47M  |    114.05K  |
|   9   |   AST SPACEMOBILE INC   |   ASTS   |  Reduced -52.36%   |      |   +6.19% |    9.53M  |    107.29K  |
|   10   |   NEXTNAV INC   |   NN   |  Added +25.8%   |      |   +5.09% |    7.84M  |    439.46K  |


## Q: Why track only the top five holdings?

**A:** The top five holdings usually represent an institution’s core allocation intent, reducing tracking complexity while improving strategy clarity and replicability.

- Focus on core allocation intent
- Reduce tracking decision load
- Improve strategy replicability


## Q: How do we validate an institution's reference value?

**A:** Using SEC-filed holdings reports, we screen institutions with independently verifiable and easier-to-replicate long-term public records, then rank them.

- More than five years of disclosed holdings
- Track the top five long positions
- Measure annualized return and consistency